Showing posts with label bitcoin prediction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bitcoin prediction. Show all posts

[Update] - As Bitcoin Mining Companies Enter 'Unprofitable' Territory, a Potentially MASSIVE Profitable Play Opens Up...

Update: Looks like our theory was correct (and while it could reverse course any time) currently CORZ is up 64.20% over the last 30 days.!



Original Article 6/15/2022:

S9 miners, extremely popular mining rigs with almost 8 years in the market, are operating at a loss to anyone located somewhere paying more than 2cents USD per kilowatt-hour in electricity costs. This is most US states.

This was brought to our attention on via tweet from an employee at Core Scientific, a Texas based mining company with stock trading on the NASDAQ stock market under the symbol 'CORZ'  

Crypto companies daily income and net worth can change drastically, fast.  In the case of CORZ, which also holds 8000 BTC, Bitcoin returning to just $30,000 could happen over a single week - and would suddenly turn a company that was losing money into one that gained $80 million more in assets. 

These factors are prime examples why stocks for companies focused entirely on crypto are different than anything Wall Street has seen before. 

Figuring out the value of a mining company isn't as simple as a formula for their hashrate (mining power) = X BTC earned daily + BTC already owned = company value.  The price of Bitcoin isn't the only factor - even the weather can dramatically change profitability, as we covered last week how Texas based mining companies are having to power down during heatwaves. 

Wall Street Debates How To Trade Crypto-Company Stocks...

Because of the factors explained above, we saw Core Scientific with a stock price around $13 just 6 months ago, down to $2 today.

Browsing stock-focused online communities makes one thing clear - stock traders still aren't sure if this represents a company moving towards failure, or chance to buy something with a rare huge potential upsides. 

The Power Play, Where You Don't Buy Bitcoin... and Profits Are Potentially 200% Higher...

So here's what it all comes down to - if you believe Bitcoin will return to or pass $60k again, and believe a stock like Core Scientific will return to $13 when it does (the price it was last time Bitcoin was at $60k) - the stock represents a 5X return on investment when Bitcoin's price only does a 3X.

Which is huge, and seems realistic - but will it?

The same financial press publishing crypto doom and gloom stories currently, will of course, again, hype up 'Bitcoin's comeback' when things go the other way.

So it's safe to say the buzz outlets like Bloomberg, CNBC, and Wall Street Journal will create will bring a boost to crypto related stocks as well. The audience of these publications includes a segment of investors not comfortable enough with tech to ever own crypto, but is willing to buy stocks that allow them to capitalize on a trend.

Here's Why it Isn't as Simple as 'Bitcoin up = Crypto stock up'...

The benefits of Bitcoin's decentralization is highlighted here, these risks apply to stocks but are not a factor for Bitcoin. 

Actually, these risks apply to any company managed by humans. A company can be derailed a number of ways - an inexperienced CEO or Board of Directors, negligence or fraud in the accounting department, a company deciding to issue a large number of additional shares, or bringing in a new key investor and issuing them a large number of shares below market value - all of these can quickly bring a stock price down - but none of then can happen to Bitcoin. 

It's not even as simple as finding a company managed by trustworthy and experienced executives - note that not all of the factors mentioned above would be considered poor company management, some are just part of doing business.

I do not currently own shares of any crypto mining company stocks...

This caught my interest and I immediately wrote this article, haven't moved on anything and still unsure if I will.  The main reason for hesitating is this would mean canceling some of my current open positions to 'buy the dip' on Bitcoin and a couple other coins I'm confident will rise again. 

Share your thoughts on this with us on twitter @TheCryptoPress!

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Author: Ross Davis
Silicon Valley Newsroom
GCP | Breaking Crypto News




From Chaos Comes 'One Of the LARGEST BULL MARKETS in HISTORY'...?

While the return of the bull market may not be 'close' - there's some signs that it is indeed coming. 

We're not alone, many analysts see a positive future ahead, such as senior analyst of Bloomberg's Commodities Division, Mike McGlone, who says "bitcoin could initiate one of the largest bull markets in history."  

McGlone says that between betting on Bitcoin's collapse, or Bitcoin continuing to gain wider adoption, their “bias is that bitcoin adoption is more likely to continue to rise” .

Other Positive Indicators:

Bitcoin being transferred from exchanges to privately owned wallets is considered a bullish sign, it indicates the owner of that Bitcoin is not looking to sell anytime soon. These investors are considered to be HODLing, and waiting for the bull market to return. 

Bitcoin on exchanges
via CryptoQuant: Amount of Bitcoin available on exchanges.

In fact, the supply of BTC being traded on exchanges hasn't been this low in 3 years.

Traders too fearful to notice - the crypto market already stabilized!

Traders are still on-edge from recent market chaos, the 'Fear & Greed Index' currently rates the Bitcoin market as one with 'Extreme fear' meaning indicators taken into account such as volume, momentum, and social media sentiment show traders hesitant to buy. 

Bitcoin has been trading between $19k and $22k for nearly an entire month!

'Hesitant to buy' and 'selling off' are two very different things - and it's gone somewhat unnoticed that the selloff ended weeks ago.

For Bitcoin especially - this is an extremely stable price range to be holding for weeks now.

Lingering fears...

Until last week, the big question mark hanging over the crypto market was lending platform Celsius and concerns it would be next to collapse.  They leveraged their funds through multiple DeFi platforms, concerns that they could be liquidated still owing millions were valid as it would have caused a ripple effect and likely another round of coin prices crashing down.   

However - they've spent the last week paying off large portions of those debts and now is no longer at high risk of liquidation 

So for now, it appears we won't be seeing any additional over-leveraged crypto platforms collapse. 

Unfortunately, the remaining cloud of fear hanging over the crypto market is a massive one that reaches far beyond crypto.  These fears are shared with the world and come from an economy struggling to grow, out of control inflation, rising gas costs, and global conflict. 

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Author: Adam Lee 
Asia News Desk Breaking Crypto News


JPMorgan Chase Says Bitcoin Currently UNDERVALUED By 28%...

JPMorgan Chase Bitcoin

JPMorgan is telling clients that getting in to Bitcoin at current prices could have major upside for them down the line. The bank believes bitcoin is undervalued by 28% and has set a price target of $38,000 for the coin, which is currently fluctuating at about $29,000.

"We thus replace real estate with digital assets as our preferred alternative asset class along with hedge funds" they wrote.

Last summer, JPMorgan began offering six crypto funds to its wealth management clients, allowing them to diversify their portfolios with bitcoin exposure.

Bitcoin sank below $26,000 for the first time since December 2020 earlier this month.

"We see upside for Bitcoin and crypto markets in general going forward" says strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou.

But the pain isn't limited to crypto, as seen last week when the NASDAQ 's market lost more than Bitcoin. In both cases, inflation fears are being blamed.

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Author: Justin Derbek
New York News Desk
Breaking Crypto News

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