Showing posts with label Bitcoin price outlook. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bitcoin price outlook. Show all posts

Wall Street Keeps Buying Bitcoin Even as a Hot Jobs Report Hits BTC

Institutional Bitcoin demand is doing something traders have not seen much of this year: getting stronger for several weeks in a row.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in roughly $986.9 million during the week ending September 4, bringing their three-week net inflow total to about $3.8 billion. That is the strongest three-week stretch of 2026, according to SoSoValue data cited by Cointelegraph.

The timing is what makes the move interesting. Bitcoin has been trading around the $80,000 area while interest-rate expectations keep shifting underneath it. On Thursday, the ETFs pulled in nearly $731 million in a single session, their biggest daily haul since January. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT, again accounted for a large share of the buying.

Three Weeks of Buying Have Changed the Picture

The current run is a sharp reversal from the first half of the year, when repeated ETF redemptions often amplified Bitcoin's selloffs. After three consecutive weeks of positive flows, total net assets across U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs stood at about $101.3 billion on Friday, while cumulative net inflows since launch reached roughly $55.6 billion.

Year-to-date flows are still slightly negative at roughly $1 billion in net outflows. That detail matters because it shows how much ground the ETFs had to recover. The recent $3.8 billion wave is not simply adding to an already euphoric year. It is repairing one that began badly.

Friday also showed that demand did not vanish as soon as the macro picture got rougher. Spot Bitcoin ETFs still attracted about $174.6 million in net inflows, with BlackRock's IBIT taking roughly $117.4 million and Fidelity's FBTC about $57.2 million.

Then the Jobs Report Hit

The macro setup turned less friendly on Friday.

U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August, far above the roughly 56,000 economists had expected. The unemployment rate held at 4.1%, while labor force participation rose. Wage growth eased slightly to 3.1% from a year earlier, but the headline employment number was strong enough to push markets toward a more hawkish Federal Reserve outlook.

Interest-rate futures moved toward roughly a 60% chance of a September rate hike after the report. Reuters reported that the August gain was the largest in five months and well above the consensus forecast.

Bitcoin responded the way rate-sensitive assets usually do. It slipped from around $81,200 to below $79,000 before recovering part of the move, while Treasury yields and the dollar moved higher.

That reaction gives traders a useful stress test. ETF demand is strong, but it is being asked to absorb a macro environment that can still turn quickly against risk assets.

Bitcoin Is Winning the ETF Flow Race

The contrast with other major crypto funds is getting harder to ignore. Bitcoin ETF inflows increased about 7% from the previous week, while weekly Ether ETF inflows fell roughly 74% to about $218.4 million. XRP ETF inflows dropped about 83% to roughly $19 million.

Ether and XRP products remain positive for 2026 overall, but right now Bitcoin is clearly winning the contest for fresh regulated capital.

That matters because spot ETF flows tend to be slower and more deliberate than derivatives positioning. Bitcoin price action can be pushed around by liquidations, funding rates and thin weekend order books. A multi-week streak of net ETF creations is harder to dismiss as short-term trading noise.

The Next Test Is Inflation

The jobs report did not settle the rate question. Inflation data is next.

A softer CPI print could revive the case for holding rates steady. Another hot reading would strengthen the argument for a hike and could put more pressure on Bitcoin, growth stocks and other assets that benefited from easier-rate expectations.

That makes the ETF flow data unusually useful. If inflows remain strong through a more hawkish rates market, it would suggest institutional buyers are willing to accumulate even without a friendly macro backdrop. If flows disappear as yields rise, the recent surge may have depended more on the dovish trade than it first appeared.

For now, the signal is constructive: nearly $1 billion entered U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in one week, $3.8 billion arrived over three weeks, and buyers kept showing up even as Bitcoin struggled around $80,000. The next few ETF sessions should tell us whether Wall Street is buying the dip or simply buying the mood.
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Author: Cedric Holloway
New York Newsroom
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